Posted by
Cary Wesberry on Monday, July 07, 2008 12:35:10 AM

A military attack to halt Iran's march toward a nuclear weapon may be too dangerous. Alternatives to an airstrike are being floated, but can they be effective? One thing, at least, should be abundantly clear: The West's current diplomatic strategy — offering endless incentives to Iran, hoping it will change its behavior — is little more than an exercise in self-delusion.
Western diplomats reportedly are "disappointed" at Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki's written response over the weekend to the most recent incentive package that the European Union foreign policy chief, Javier Solana, offered to Iran. Disappointed? The Iranian response should have been foreseeable to anyone who's been paying attention.
Reading Mr. Solana's package of benefits, Israel's Ephraim Sneh told me, "I thought it was being offered to Sweden or Norway," not a terrorist regime that has thumbed its nose at U.N. Security Council resolutions. But the mullahs will react to the new generous package as they always have, he predicted last week.
"Iran will fool the West to buy time, and the West will allow itself to be fooled," Mr. Sneh, a former deputy defense minister, said.
Sure enough, European diplomats swore that they could detect "new language" in statements from Iranian officials such as Mr. Mottaki and Ali Akbar Velayati, foreign policy adviser to the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
Their statements were vague enough to raise hopes for a breakthrough. But then the nonanswer came in writing: The mullahs made it clear that they have no intention whatsoever of suspending their enrichment of uranium, as the Security Council has demanded. Instead, they offered more negotiations.
Surprised? Was any other outcome possible?
Continue reading the article written in the New York Sun by Benny Avni at the link above. Though I don't agree with all of Avni's opinions on the issue of an Israeli airstrike against Iran, the article is well-written and thought-out.
It should be fairly obvious to anyone following national and world events that using diplomacy to deal with Iran's nuclear weapons program has been a total failure and embarrassment to the West. Iran plays games with the Security Council and gets away with it every single time. This is because the UN Security Council, and the UN in general, is the most ineffective body of fools in the world and a fraud. Iran knows this all too well, and after watching Saddam break 17 UN resolutions over a period of many years before answering for it Iran has proof they can use the same tactic to stall for time.
With the United States involved deeply on two battlefronts in the war against Islamic fascism, Iran feels quite secure in moving full-speed ahead with its nuclear weapons program with no retaliation from America. Where the United States is concerned, Iran has made what could be a fatal mistake: killing U.S. soldiers in Iraq on a regular basis while funding and supplying insurgent groups.
Where Israel is concerned, Iran's mistake is over-confidence, arrogance, and pride. Israel just proved to Syria that it won't allow its enemies to possess nuclear weapons with an airstrike on their North Korean-built facility. Iran thinks Israel is too bogged-down in its own politics and the constant Palestinian attacks to take action. This is where I fully depart from the opinions in Avni's article. Israel will, in the end, defend itself from being destroyed by Iran's nuclear weapons for their proliferation of nuclear weapons. Israeli politics have always been distressed and Israel has always been under attack by Palestinians. It has never stopped them before and I have no doubt it will not stop them today.
Islamists like those ruling Iran always go one step too far. Always. Iran is in the process of doing just that as I type these words. Underestimating the United States and Israel will cause Iran to be attacked. The Taliban never thought we would stay as long as we have in Afghanistan after 9/11, and Saddam surely did not think we would invade Iraq again. The Islamists strut and spew vile rhetoric while committing grave acts of genocide and attacks on the West. Then they get killed for it. Iran is no different. When the diplomacy plays itself out and fails, and Iran still doesn't back down, they will get attacked for it. Probably a huge airstrike from Israel with some support from the United States.