Posted by
Cary Wesberry on Monday, August 11, 2008 9:28:26 PM
For hostilities to stop, Russia put forth two explicit conditions: 1. cease fire and 2. withdraw from South Ossetia.
On August 10th, Georgia complied [...]
On August 11th, Russia stepped up its bombing of Georgia
Despite almost hourly announcements that the “peacekeeping” operation is drawing to an end, Russia continues to attack Georgian territory, beyond the two rebel regions. Now let’s assume that Russia’s increased bombing of Georgia is just a last minute hit on the enemy, and the South Ossetia conflict will soon be over - what next?
Not peace. Abkhazia, the other break-away region supported by Russia, has issued an ultimatum:
If [Georgia's] troops fail to leave the strategic Kodori Gorge, separatist forces will begin a full-scale onslaught to force them out.
Thus a likely scenario we may see develop is “peace” with South Ossetia, and a new full-scale front opened in Abkhazia. For another prediction of the next 48 hours, see the BlackFive.
And what about the role of the United States? Here is the latest framing of the conflict by Putin:
Vladimir Putin has pointed a finger of blame at the United States. Washington, said the Russian Premier, is trying to intervene in Russian operations in Georgia, transporting Georgian troops to the conflict zone by air. “In fact, some of our partners, far from assisting us, are attempting to impede us: I refer to Georgian soldiers based in Iraq, transferred on board US aircraft directly to the conflict zone”.
Nonsense.
Georgia has been a steadfast ally of the United States. Tbilisi has sent 2000 of its own troops to Iraq. When Georgia came under Russian assault, it requested that its troops be airlifted back home to defend the country’s territory. Following standard operating procedures, this request was honored and Georgian troops taken home…from one war to another.
This is the least that the United States can do under the extreme circumstances. Putin’s remark is also strange in how he laments that that the U.S. is not willing to assist Russia in fighting Georgia. Is Russia really requesting help in invading Georgia?
Yes. Russia is requesting my country's aid in the invasion of our own ally. That is how confident Russia is at this point in time. Using Germany as a bullhorn at the NATO summit, reported earlier on this site, Russia was able to dominate members through threats of an invasion of Georgia was allowed to join NATO. The actual goal however was to make sure Georgia did not gain NATO membership so that Russia could invade. As I have stated time and again over the last three days; if Georgia had been accepted into NATO none of this would have happened. At least not the Russian invasion.
The United States has the power to end this with some very strong language hinting at real military support for Georgia. Russia would back down because they are not in any way capable of physically standing-up to the power of America. President Bush fought very hard at that NATO summit for Georgia's membership, but the false fear of Russian invasion after acceptance into NATO ruled the day thanks to Angela Merkel of the now proven treacherous country of Germany.
Great links at The 8th Circle. Well worth your time to check them out.